A self-normalized approach to confidence interval construction in time series

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Self-normalized Approach to Confidence Interval Construction in Time Series

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Abstract: We propose a new method to construct confidence intervals for quantities that are associated with a stationary time series, which avoids direct estimation of the asymptotic variances. Unlike the existing tuning-parameter-dependent approaches, our method has the attractive convenience of being free of choosing any user-chosen number or smoothi...

متن کامل

Nonparametric functional central limit theorem for time series regression with application to self-normalized confidence interval

This paper is concerned with the inference of nonparametric mean function in a time series context. The commonly used kernel smoothing estimate is asymptotically normal and the traditional inference procedure then consistently estimates the asymptotic variance function and relies upon normal approximation. Consistent estimation of the asymptotic variance function involves another level of nonpa...

متن کامل

A confidence interval approach to data analysis

The objective of ecological experiments is often to determine whether observed effects are large enough to be ecologically important. Despite this, effect size measures and associated measures of precision are frequently missing in published ecological research. In many cases, P-values are the only information available with which to assess the ecological importance of observed effects, but the...

متن کامل

A self-normalized confidence interval for the mean of a class of nonstationary processes.

We construct an asymptotic confidence interval for the mean of a class of nonstationary processes with constant mean and time-varying variances. Due to the large number of unknown parameters, traditional approaches based on consistent estimation of the limiting variance of sample mean through moving block or non-overlapping block methods are not applicable. Under a block-wise asymptotically equ...

متن کامل

a time-series analysis of the demand for life insurance in iran

با توجه به تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها ما دریافتیم که سطح درامد و تعداد نمایندگیها باتقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه مستقیم دارند و نرخ بهره و بار تکفل با تقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه عکس دارند

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)

سال: 2010

ISSN: 1369-7412,1467-9868

DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2009.00737.x